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Author Topic: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide  (Read 255804 times)

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Offline Bird

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #775 on: March 05, 2025, 11:58:08 AM »
reminds me of a girl i once knew.

https://www.windy.com/?-27.284,155.522,6
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #776 on: March 05, 2025, 03:13:54 PM »
Came across this app.
https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=-27.46,156.086,6z
It just adds another tool to those I already use to assess what the weather is doing.


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Offline Bird

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #777 on: March 06, 2025, 11:08:36 AM »
from another forum....
Cyclones:

Debbie, Cat 4, March 2017
Marcia, Cat 5, 2015
Yasi, Cat 5, 2011
Larry, Cat 4, 2006
Alfred, Cat 2. 2025


Mostly media driven? Time to get out the Akubras and dry-as-a-bones and go LIVE TO OUR REPORTER ON SCENE...?

Not saying it wont be bad - any cyclone would be bad.. I guess its better to over prepare than ignore it..
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Offline Rowlie

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #778 on: March 06, 2025, 11:46:39 AM »
Quote from: Bird on March 06, 2025, 11:08:36 AM
from another forum....
Cyclones:

Debbie, Cat 4, March 2017
Marcia, Cat 5, 2015
Yasi, Cat 5, 2011
Larry, Cat 4, 2006
Alfred, Cat 2. 2025




Mostly media driven? Time to get out the Akubras and dry-as-a-bones and go LIVE TO OUR REPORTER ON SCENE...?

Not saying it wont be bad - any cyclone would be bad.. I guess its better to over prepare than ignore it..


As I understand it the categorisation is determined by wind velocity. Up to 160kmh I think is cat 2. It doesn't reflect the rain volume or the tidal surge. The low barometric pressure causes king tides and the accompanying wind on top of that creates tidal surge. So all the water falling on the land can't get away to sea which at the same time is trying to inundate the land.

As a kid living in Cairns we were on the edge of a few but never actually copped one. I did see the see water coming up through the stormwater grates in the main street once as an associated king tide pushed up.

They have already had a lot of rain up there and water storages are well up if not already full. I've heard reports of up to 400mm.
Its got to go somewhere.

The waiting can't be much fun. Thinking of you all and lets hope it fades to a low pressure system as it approaches the coast.

Rowlie
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Offline paceman

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #779 on: March 06, 2025, 12:19:16 PM »
Quote from: Bird on March 06, 2025, 11:08:36 AM
from another forum....
Cyclones:

Debbie, Cat 4, March 2017
Marcia, Cat 5, 2015
Yasi, Cat 5, 2011
Larry, Cat 4, 2006
Alfred, Cat 2. 2025


Mostly media driven? Time to get out the Akubras and dry-as-a-bones and go LIVE TO OUR REPORTER ON SCENE...?

Not saying it wont be bad - any cyclone would be bad.. I guess its better to over prepare than ignore it..

do some more research and have a look at where those cyclones crossed the coast.

then you might see why Alfred is still very dangerous.  not necessarily for wind, but for rainfall in a HEAVILY populated area, with not much open ground for water to soak away, as opposed to further north.
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #780 on: March 06, 2025, 03:56:53 PM »
It's a bit like this.

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Offline Bird

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #781 on: March 06, 2025, 04:25:36 PM »
it would be nice for the media to be not spreading fear and exaggerating...

most comments seem to agree
https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/tropical-cyclone-alfred-live-updates/live-coverage/0560e7fa620a2730e5271451a3e4610e#/entry/24694379

As I said I'm not saying it wont be bad - any cyclone would be bad - Wind damage or flood damage - its all damaging some poor souls.. I guess its better to over prepare than ignore it.

But IMWO the media aren't helping the situation.
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Offline paceman

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #782 on: March 06, 2025, 05:05:33 PM »
Quote from: Bird on March 06, 2025, 04:25:36 PM
it would be nice for the media to be not spreading fear and exaggerating...

most comments seem to agree
https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/tropical-cyclone-alfred-live-updates/live-coverage/0560e7fa620a2730e5271451a3e4610e#/entry/24694379

As I said I'm not saying it wont be bad - any cyclone would be bad - Wind damage or flood damage - its all damaging some poor souls.. I guess its better to over prepare than ignore it.

But IMWO the media aren't helping the situation.
Using that list of cyclones as a reason to downplay the danger is asinine and shows a real lack of understanding.

The media beat up everything and have been doing it for decades.

Is it right? No.

Do you have to consume it and pass it on? Also no.


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Offline Hoyks

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #783 on: March 06, 2025, 05:15:26 PM »
Quote from: Bird on March 06, 2025, 04:25:36 PM
it would be nice for the media to be not spreading fear and exaggerating...


But IMWO the media aren't helping the situation.

Always the way though, if it bleeds, it leads. Guaranteed there will be someone in a raincoat or in the driving rain, trying to fit under an umbrella, leading the evening news.

Also guaranteed I'll get a panicked phone call from Mum or rellos interstate asking how we are surviving the ferocious onslaught of the storm or getting on with the fires or whatever disaster is currently in progress.


Right now we have 20km/h breeze and had about 0.2mm of rain all day. Had the day off work, so put in a fence post and cleaned up the shed so I can fit another car in there.
The storm will come, not much I can do about it, so the yard is tidied up, fridge stocked and contingencies considered/actioned for loss of power. Should be an interesting Friday night.
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #784 on: March 06, 2025, 05:24:52 PM »
That'll do me, telly is getting switched off.
News reported that the Gold Coast & Baling airports are now closed.
FFS.

It's Ballina, you numpties.

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Offline Renno

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #785 on: March 06, 2025, 05:36:09 PM »
There is no way anything will be coming in or out of Ballina, that's for sure.
Blowing its tits off, not looking forward to what's to come. 
Renno  :cheers:
« Last Edit: March 06, 2025, 05:40:17 PM by Renno »
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Offline Hoyks

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #786 on: March 06, 2025, 05:39:07 PM »
If Ballina airport closed... would anyone notice? ???

I'm out between Ipswich and Gatton and had some light aircraft buzzing along around 4pm. We're reasonably protected, but it would have been a bumpy ride up there.
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #787 on: March 06, 2025, 05:40:20 PM »
Take care mate,
That high tide and storm surge, remember them well as kid living there.
Then the flood water down the Richmond


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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #788 on: March 06, 2025, 05:48:26 PM »
Quote from: Hoyks on March 06, 2025, 05:39:07 PM
If Ballina airport closed... would anyone notice? ???

I'm out between Ipswich and Gatton and had some light aircraft buzzing along around 4pm. We're reasonably protected, but it would have been a bumpy ride up there.
It's actually a busy airport.
We used it to fly to Sydney several times, in stead of Coffs.
I used to ride a Honda CR 125 elsonor on the flat track, before the airport was built.
Fun fact, my father had a contact, to transport passengers from Ballina to Lismore Airport.
He heard Ballina was to have an airport, he sold his contract, which paid for two taxis in Maclean.


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Offline Bird

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #789 on: March 06, 2025, 06:22:18 PM »
Quote from: Hoyks
If Ballina airport closed... would anyone notice? ???

I'm out between Ipswich and Gatton and had some light aircraft buzzing along around 4pm. We're reasonably protected, but it would have been a bumpy ride up there.
you'd want balls made of meteorite to be in a plane today up there.

but the news gets better not brilliant..

Alfred tipped to become category 1, but still ‘extremely dangerous The category 2 system has slowed considerably as it moves towards Queensland, and could make landfall much later than previously predicted.

Cat 1 is better than the initial Cat 3 reports
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/understanding/categories/
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #790 on: March 08, 2025, 03:17:18 PM »
The last couple of day have been, well strange.
Wednesday, the NSW goverment started to close schools from Grafton to the boarder.
Local council closed their offices. Yet outdoor staff were dealing with issues in preparing for the worst.
As usual, people went nuts and emptied the supermarket Shelves.
Thursday, Shops and businesses closed their across the Clarence Valley, some businesses stayed open until Friday lunch/close of business.
Up until then,  we had just over 140mm in 4 days, yesterday(Friday), It rained all day and most of the night. Fysh being an SES member was called out to a couple of trees that had come down on road around Lawrence.
The RFS, we haven't been called for assistance, not even a MVA, Which is fantastic.
This morning, I checked the rain, 158mm, 7am.
Just made a cuppa and the power went off, git ready to fire up the genny to keep the 3 fridges going, got the leads out, in place.
And the power was back on.
I kept every in place, just in case.
I let Fysh sleep into about 9am.
Turned the idoit box, and the cyclone was now a East Coast Low.
It's rain lightly most of the day, appears there is more rain on the way.
Lismore is on a knife's edge. As the Wilson River slowly rises to the top of the levies.
Fysh has been called out again, trees over roads, building, no injuries that I know of, the wind has backed right off, the ground is just saturated.
The Clarence River is rising, watch River gauges around the catchment, alot of water is still to enter the system.
It well be maybe a week before ferry at Lawrence is operating again.
That means next week a drive of either 140km's on tar through Grafton to attend works, or 100km trip with a third of on a one lane winding dirt road. Hmm
I don't mind taking the dirt option, except for the idoits that drive well over a safe speed.

I hope everyone has been safe across the impact area of this system, I don't think it's over yet.
Take care.
Oh, thanks for the Member Messages, here or on FB.
It's appreciated, Cheers.


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Offline Hoyks

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #791 on: March 08, 2025, 06:31:16 PM »
A whole lot of bugger-all where I am just west of Ipswich.
A bit of blustery wind yesterday, but it dropped of to nothing last night. So far we're lucky to have had 30mm since Thursday. I'm in the RFS and yesterday we were called out to door knock potential flood areas (they flood every time) and tomorrow we're on the hook for cleaning up downed trees.

I'm not complaining, the tanks are full and I quite like my protected little valley, we seem to dodge most of the wild weather.
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #792 on: March 08, 2025, 07:27:24 PM »
Hoyks,
Imo, I could be wrong, hope am because people have had enough in some areas.
We're we are, for the moment we have dodge it?
The warnings are to the north & south of us, yet we do have a huge catchment, the system is slow moving at the moment, more moisture will be drawn into our catchment.
Stay safe mate.



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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #793 on: March 10, 2025, 07:36:24 AM »
Well that didn't take long for planes to start.
Most roads in the Clarence Valley are effected.


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Offline Bird

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #794 on: March 10, 2025, 11:02:10 AM »
Hope the cops gave him a working over

Wild footage has captured the moment a Queensland man was caught with multiple vehicle keys and alleged housebreaking implements in his car, as opportunistic thieves target homes amid ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred.

The footage, released by Queensland police, shows the moment a police officer chased down and arrested the man while he was standing in flood waters in Rocklea late on Sunday night.

“You’re under arrest brother, hands behind your back,” the officer says as the pair stand in the murky water.

Police were conducting proactive patrols when they came across the man’s car with false registration plates in flood waters around 11pm.

Police allegedly found 10 sets of vehicle keys, drug utensils, and house-breaking implements in the man’s car, with video footage showing officers finding an axe, bolt cutters, torches and a screwdriver among other items in the vehicle.

The 44-year-old allegedly attempted to run from police but was taken into custody at the scene.
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Offline Fizzie

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #795 on: March 10, 2025, 11:11:49 AM »
We're back! ;D

Lost power ~midnight Thursday night, came back on ~1am this morning. Mobile towers apparently started dropping out Friday arvo, as data has been off & on since then.

Up till this morning, we've had 656.25mm over the 5 days! :o

Lost a couple of tree branches, collected a few more in the back yard from the neighbour's Silky Oak & a bit of mess to clean up, but no damage as such ;D

Hope everybody else got through OK ???
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Offline GeoffA

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #796 on: March 10, 2025, 04:28:26 PM »
Police allegedly found......... torches and a screwdriver among other items in the vehicle.

I'm guilty of that too....
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #797 on: March 10, 2025, 04:43:05 PM »
Quote from: GeoffA on March 10, 2025, 04:28:26 PM
Police allegedly found......... torches and a screwdriver among other items in the vehicle.

I'm guilty of that too....
Geez, I carry a 115mm 18V Grinder & impact driver.
Got to jail, Do not pass go, do not collect 200 bucks.



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Offline xcvator

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #798 on: March 10, 2025, 07:52:02 PM »
Quote from: Hairs on March 10, 2025, 04:43:05 PM
Geez, I carry a 115mm 18V Grinder & impact driver.
Got to jail, Do not pass go, do not collect 200 bucks.



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You think you've got problem, I've got 600mm machette in amongst my fishing gear.  :-[
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Offline Hairs

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Re: Batten Down the Hatches - Australia wide
« Reply #799 on: March 10, 2025, 08:01:58 PM »
Quote from: xcvator on March 10, 2025, 07:52:02 PM
You think you've got problem, I've got 600mm machette in amongst my fishing gear.  :-[
Thanks for reminding me,
I've a cane knife in the draws.
Awesome on Lantana

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