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Author Topic: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned  (Read 34123 times)

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Offline Paul and Bern

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TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« on: January 31, 2011, 07:25:51 AM »
 :-[ Just Listened to ABC and local weatherman at airport.  Yarni Cat 1 expected to grow at one Category per day, but destructive winds may be up to 400km from centre.  That means for example if it hit say Townsville, both Cairns and Mackay would experience winds as bad or worse than what we (Cairns) received in Larry.
It's not looking pretty, Larry was bad but only lasted a couple of hours, this one could last 3 - 4 times as long as it is expected to be 3 -4 times the physical size (not necessarily strength), and expected to cross Wed night / Thursday at present.

Please be aware and take precautions so that we all can walk away from it after.
Paul

Ok more from Bill at Cairns BOM, expect 15 - 20 hours of winds on the coast of over 70km/hr....... to far out to predict crossing but prob Ingham / Townsville area.....
« Last Edit: January 31, 2011, 07:42:53 AM by Paul and Bern »
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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2011, 08:49:25 AM »
For all of our fellow swaggers up in the Nth Qld area, our thoughts are with you, stay safe and we hope that no harm comes to you.

My nephew lives in Ingham and was just getting over the recent floods, how much more of this wether are we going to get.
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Offline JethroT

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2011, 09:20:25 AM »
Hang on guys, these cyclones are so unpredictable, all the best to all in FNQ.

Regards
Geoff
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Offline Matto

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #3 on: January 31, 2011, 03:14:45 PM »
I'm with you Paul, I'm not one to generally get too excited about cyclones, but Yasi has got me "quietly concerned" at the moment. Not worried, and I'm sure with the right, sensible precautions everything will be fine. But it is one heck of a storm just on size alone, and as Geoff says, they can be unpredictable things.

A lot can change between now and then, so we'll just have to take it a day at a time. I believe the track has been updated since this one:


Either way, it's going to be a fun few days. The guy from the BOM on the radio this morning was talking about how they expect it to stay formed as a cyclone as it tracks inland. Goodness knows how much rain that's going to dump into the gulf country/channel country. Cause the one thing the Balonne and Condamine rivers need now is more rain!  :-[

Ahh well - wait and see I guess. I might have to fill up the water tank in the camper, stop it blowing away...

Thanks!
Matto :)
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Offline Crazy Dog

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #4 on: January 31, 2011, 04:28:41 PM »
The latest BOM image..

And VERY CONCERNED NOW!!!!

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

Grrr!!!  >:( >:( >:(
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Offline Bushman

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #5 on: January 31, 2011, 04:38:24 PM »
There goes the price of Banana's again ::)

Seriously though, stay safe guys.
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Offline Alloy C/T

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #6 on: January 31, 2011, 04:41:23 PM »
We've just had the rain from Anthony , nothing spectacular except for turning the freshly graded roads  back to crappola,,,
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Offline Teabag

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #7 on: January 31, 2011, 04:43:50 PM »
It's a good one but preparation is the key. Already we a ready for the fun and fravolity it may bring. I hope not but best to be prepared now and not put up with the mad rush/panic.......I find it funny what people buy in preparation, it can be amusing..... ???
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Offline McGirr

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #8 on: January 31, 2011, 04:53:08 PM »
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html

This will give people an indication of the size of it. Its the biggest in dimemsion ever to hit our coast.
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Offline Matto

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #9 on: January 31, 2011, 04:55:18 PM »
I was more concerned when I saw this sat photo of it from last night...



That's an angry looking cyclone...

What's the bet that Bunnings have sold out of:
A) generators, and
B) "Cyclone Kit" buckets?

Thanks!
Matto :)
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Offline barneys

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #10 on: January 31, 2011, 05:00:47 PM »
that pic has to been doc
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Offline Matto

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #11 on: January 31, 2011, 05:01:49 PM »
Quote from: barneys on January 31, 2011, 05:00:47 PM
that pic has to been doc
;D ;D ;D >:D

Thanks!
Matto :)
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Offline Symon

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #12 on: January 31, 2011, 05:10:53 PM »
Quote from: Matto on January 31, 2011, 04:55:18 PM
That's an angry looking cyclone...

What's the bet that Bunnings have sold out of:
A) generators, and
B) "Cyclone Kit" buckets?

I went into our local Bunnings on Tuesday afternoon and saw they had about 30 generators in stock, ranging in size from 1kVA to 5kVA.  I was in there again last Friday (after the cyclone watch was issued) and they had 2 left, with a group of about 5 people arguing over them!

Yasi isn't 'that' powerful of a cyclone, but man it is big, I've never seen one that has a gale force wind boundary that stretches from Cooktown to Mackay.  That's just insane.
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Offline jclures

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #13 on: January 31, 2011, 05:14:57 PM »
Have a look at this one.
http://www.youtube.com/user/robcenter1
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Offline Teabag

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #14 on: January 31, 2011, 06:05:42 PM »
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 

PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 5:02pm EST on Monday the 31st of January 2011

A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities from
Cooktown to Yeppoon.

At 4:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 3 was estimated to be
1780 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 1630 kilometres east northeast
of Mackay moving west at 30 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is expected to intensify as it moves west over the Coral Sea.

Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Cooktown and Yeppoon Wednesday morning.

People between Cooktown and Yeppoon should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases.

- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 13.8 degrees South 162.5 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 30 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 185 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 3
.Central pressure......... 970 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Monday 31 January.

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Offline Crimso

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #15 on: January 31, 2011, 06:10:49 PM »
Shit, imagine the size of the swell this will be generating! Wouldn't want to be on a boat anywhere near this thing.
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Offline speewa158

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #16 on: January 31, 2011, 06:25:20 PM »
Matto Looked at you post 9 & got a shock to see the face of evil coming at QLD there are smaller faces that are smiling as they go by .  This looks really nasty .  Stay Safe
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Offline Isuzumu

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #17 on: January 31, 2011, 06:59:38 PM »
Just heard on the Ten News they are telling people to get out of Bowen and head west, that is scary.
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Offline graylyn

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #18 on: January 31, 2011, 07:29:46 PM »
have a look at this link from the Guam weather station:



http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html


I'm getting out of here.
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Offline Symon

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #19 on: January 31, 2011, 07:50:34 PM »
Quote from: graylyn on January 31, 2011, 07:29:46 PM
I'm getting out of here.

Yep, I'm loading up the camper and we are off too.
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Offline Kit_e_kat9

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #20 on: January 31, 2011, 07:59:11 PM »


LOL!  You guys think that's big ... see what they have planned for Brisvegas Feb 14th or so ... so maybe head for Cooktown? 

Oh My Lord!

Kit_e
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Offline Symon

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #21 on: January 31, 2011, 08:13:16 PM »
They have now ordered evacuations for everyone in the brown zone for Mackay, just as well you and I were already heading off graylyn!

LOW LYING RESIDENTS NEED TO RELOCATE


ATTENTION – RESIDENTS IN THE BROWN EVACUATION ZONE

Premier Anna Bligh has urged all residents in the Mackay area to make immediate preparations as Tropical Cyclone Yasi continues its path toward the North Queensland coast.



Ms Bligh said the extremely serious weather event now looked likely to cross the coast overnight on Wednesday and all residents should now be taking precautions, including stocking up on essential items.

“Latest advice from the Bureau of Meteorology is that this cyclone will be accompanied by significant flood in low lying areas from storm surge,” Ms Bligh said.

Mackay Mayor Col Meng said residents in low lying and waterfront areas in the Mackay region should make arrangements to relocate on Tuesday, as it may be too late on Wednesday

“Advice from the Weather Bureau is that coastal areas in Yasi’s path will begin to experience wind gusts beyond 100km an hour early on Wednesday."

“If you live in the brown evacuation zone then it is imperative that you leave your home in plenty of time and relocate to friends or family in high places.”

THERE ARE NO EVACAUTION SHELTERS IN THE REGION

“So I implore all of those people who live in the Brown Zone to leave their homes in plenty of time and relocate to friends and family."

“If you have family or friends on higher ground, go to them."

“I understand leaving your home will cause anxiety but I would rather people were inconvenienced for a couple of days than place themselves in dangerous situations."

Cr Meng said to check information about whether your house is in a storm surge area, maps are available on council’s website www.mackay.qld.gov.au.

Premier Anna Bligh said the government and State Disaster Management Group is in close and constant contact with council.

“I urge all residents of these coastal communities to treat this cyclone as extremely serious – we are facing a difficult time and I want everyone to remain as safe as possible.”

Cr Meng will make further announcements as information on the cyclone comes to hand.

THE BROWN EVACUATION ZONE MAPS ARE AVAILABLE ON COUNCIL’S WEBSITE AND WILL BE AVAILABLE IN TUESDAY’S DAILY MERCURY.

Click here for Brown Evacuation Zone Map.

For more information on emergency preparations click here.


Contact: Ken Furdek

Phone: 1300 MACKAY (622 529)
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Offline Bill

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #22 on: January 31, 2011, 08:18:52 PM »
We are as ready as we can be.
I have sign going up on the shop door when I leave tomorrow afternoon informing customers the shop will be closed until Yasi goes away.
Best of luck to everyone...
Bill and Morag
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Offline Paul and Bern

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #23 on: January 31, 2011, 08:57:07 PM »
 :-[ Joint typhoons have it as a 4 for a long time before crossing..... I have been told Cairns port will close tomorrow.
You know the worrying thing is, the Govt and Met bureau are telling us now.  Normally it has to be blowing the door down before they admit it's there.  Is that just the internet or what.....
I bought more 2 stroke and cutter bar oil + 40L unleaded, think I might have to visit my Brother in Law in Townsville maybe Saturday....
Time to gravel rash the Knees I am thinking....
Paul
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Offline kochy

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Re: TC Yasi - OK, Now I'm a tad concerned
« Reply #24 on: January 31, 2011, 09:28:41 PM »
Hi Guys
 Kochy in Bowen big decision time looking to move tomorrow after boarding up house and heading inland with camper and 6 metre boat behind troopy and 100 series. Be safe everyone look forward to meeting you all some day. I have had my place on market in Bowen with a view to moving to townsville might be using the insurance. We faired good last night with Anthony but this one is the real macoy/
 
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