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Author Topic: Cyclone Marcia  (Read 31841 times)

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Offline DaveR

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Cyclone Marcia
« on: February 19, 2015, 06:47:46 AM »
I know there are many My Swag folk who live in this area.
I hope it isn't to bad for you.
And
I hope a good drink makes it inland, not too much of it.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-19/cyclone-marcia-tracks-towards-queensland-coast/6143900
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Offline Jeepers Creepers

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2015, 06:58:57 AM »
We went into full prep mode yesterday, by putting an extra rope on the boat front and back.

hmmm, we also um..... let me think.... nup, that was it.
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Offline DaveR

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2015, 07:05:10 AM »
Well,
How about turning the camp fridge on
Getting enough beers down to temp, and extra food.
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Offline Jeepers Creepers

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2015, 07:11:07 AM »
Nah, the local Woollies and IGA will be open.

Although, I might give the Honda EU20 a fire up later in case the power goes out at some point.
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Offline edz

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2015, 07:17:28 AM »
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 19, 2015, 06:58:57 AM
We went into full prep mode yesterday, by putting an extra rope on the boat front and back.

hmmm, we also um..... let me think.... nup, that was it.
Maybe a few extra fenders along the sides and a double check on the bilge pumps / float switches and batteries  :cheers:
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Offline Garfish

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2015, 07:36:01 AM »
Parents reported last night that no milk or bread at woollies in Bundy as everyone stocked up. 
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Offline muzza01

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2015, 07:37:38 AM »
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 19, 2015, 07:11:07 AM
Nah, the local Woollies and IGA will be open.

Although, I might give the Honda EU20 a fire up later in case the power goes out at some point.
I reckon it would be a safe bet that some area are going to lose power. Good luck Mate. :cheers:
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Offline paceman

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2015, 07:44:43 AM »
for those interested in cyclone tracking (if you haven't already used it), try the following site:

http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

just click on the 'TC Warning Graphic' for the cyclone you wish to look at.

these guys seem to know their stuff.  they picked yasi's track days before anyone else got close....

just another resource to have...
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Offline Clouty

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2015, 08:17:26 AM »
My mate is heading up to bundy today in the B-double which is stocked up with general food items..

Should be a interesting drive for him ;D
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Offline xcvator

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2015, 08:39:34 AM »
Ahh Queensland, beautiful 1 day............................................................. :'(
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Offline Bird

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2015, 09:02:06 AM »
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Offline Elky

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2015, 09:09:32 AM »
Yea I cleaned the gutters for the first time in 2 years......got some petrol and test ran the gennie, just expecting lots of rain and possible power outage (last time was 4 days)

This time around we have the engel, and a fully charged deep cycle battery (battery box is uber handy) with the led lights we keep in the ct

Now I gotta move some cars around to avoid possible branch damage

Also need a stockpile of drinks.....
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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #12 on: February 19, 2015, 09:26:13 AM »
Prior preparation and planning ladies and gents. Ive got t/c Lam heading my way.
Please stay away from creek and river crossings!
Good luck to all. See you on the other side
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Offline Rusty

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #13 on: February 19, 2015, 09:53:54 AM »
Put all the loose stuff In the shed put the caravan cover on and went panic buying bought 4 cartons of beer (they were on special ) :cup: :cup:

Honda 2.0i is full and have extra fuel told the wife she may be lucky to use her Christmas present the Honda  ;D ;D

Rusty
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Offline speewa158

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #14 on: February 19, 2015, 10:04:50 AM »
This could make the 2015 Cape trip   very interesting indeed . Might rearrange a few roads  :cheers:
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Offline Bird

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #15 on: February 19, 2015, 11:49:09 AM »
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/cyclone-marcia-live-coverage-20150219-13iuaw.html

10:56am Kristian Silva: Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has urged Queensalnders to saty away from rovers and beaches as the cyclone hits.
Wind gusts of up to 150 km/h are tipped across parts of the state's central and southern areas, along with torrential rain.
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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #16 on: February 19, 2015, 11:53:06 AM »
Good Luck - hope it is not going to be too bad!!
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Offline Elky

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #17 on: February 19, 2015, 12:19:02 PM »
Quote from: speewa158 on February 19, 2015, 10:04:50 AM
This could make the 2015 Cape trip   very interesting indeed . Might rearrange a few roads  :cheers:

Yep we are heading to the cape this year.....and to make things interesting we are goin in June/July so I am having kittens at the thought of dunking my 200 and CT on the tele track, some bypasses will be taken I thinks

Looks like choosing mud tyres is gonna be vindicated!
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Offline krisandkev

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #18 on: February 19, 2015, 12:33:54 PM »
Our shed still has not been repaired since a bad storm 2 weeks ago!  Oh well, can't do much about it...  Do not mind the rain, just do not want the wind.   Kevin
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Offline Bird

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #19 on: February 19, 2015, 12:35:34 PM »
Quote from: krisandkev
just do not want the wind.   Kevin
careful what you eat then,,
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Offline muzza01

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #20 on: February 19, 2015, 01:29:27 PM »
Quote from: paceman on February 19, 2015, 07:44:43 AM
for those interested in cyclone tracking (if you haven't already used it), try the following site:

http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

just click on the 'TC Warning Graphic' for the cyclone you wish to look at.

these guys seem to know their stuff.  they picked yasi's track days before anyone else got close....

just another resource to have...

Although I admit to using these guys too,(it's my job). Another couple of websites are:
www.ecmwf.int/
www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

Saying that USNO picked Yasi's track days before anyone else is a little exaggerated but I will agree with you that their tracking was fairly accurate in that case  It is the track where everyone remembers but in most cases, the BOM has been the most accurate for other predictions.  It certainly doesn't hurt to have access to a few different models when making preparations.
 :cheers:
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Offline paceman

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #21 on: February 19, 2015, 01:57:44 PM »
Quote from: muzza01 on February 19, 2015, 01:29:27 PM
Although I admit to using these guys too,(it's my job). Another couple of websites are:
www.ecmwf.int/
www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

Saying that USNO picked Yasi's track days before anyone else is a little exaggerated but I will agree with you that their tracking was fairly accurate in that case  It is the track where everyone remembers but in most cases, the BOM has been the most accurate for other predictions.  It certainly doesn't hurt to have access to a few different models when making preparations.
 :cheers:


if memory serves, their (JTWC) tracking map was accurate for at least 36 hours before the BOM got to the same result.  in this case, as you have said... :)

IMO, the BOM seems to take too long to get to their final prediction (and i do understand that it IS a prediction), and in the meantime, creates a fair amount of unnecessary panic among the general public, where we then see instances of panic buying, etc...

i think the BOM gets placed into a no-win situation a lot of the time with this sort of thing... i don't envy them at all.

thanks for the other links, mate... i enjoy comparing and contrasting... :)
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Offline muzza01

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #22 on: February 19, 2015, 03:25:56 PM »
Quote from: paceman on February 19, 2015, 01:57:44 PM
i think the BOM gets placed into a no-win situation a lot of the time with this sort of thing... i don't envy them at all.
Agreed. Poor buggers are expected to predict the track of cyclones with 100% certainty. It is a science that has so many variables that constantly change making it very difficult accurately predict.

I work fairly closely with them on some projects; some of the expectations and pressure put on them by politicians to make an accurate observation is unfair; that is why they tend to give a broader range of prediction hedging all of their bets.
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Offline Jeepers Creepers

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #23 on: February 19, 2015, 03:30:00 PM »
Only 2 spots left vacant in the marina now, the houseboats are in, even the coast guard have parked up in their.

The funny thing is though, the spots left vacant are dead opposite us.... person could get a complex at this rate.

Bit of rain here and mid 30 knot winds, all pretty easy so far.
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Offline edz

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Re: Cyclone Marcia
« Reply #24 on: February 19, 2015, 03:31:36 PM »
Think things are starting to get a bit over the top around here atm ... We are aprox 1000 km away from the x point of this cyclone and theyve gone and cancelled schools for tomorow due to the Extreme weather event and as far as Nambucca heads south of Coffs Harbour ... 1500kms away from the storm ...
Never heard anything like it ever, must be the mother of all mothers of a possible Cat 2 cyclone .. Panic buying has started going by the people in the shops too.
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