I think the US will soon be the reference point for comparisons in regard to how bad it could get. Just about every variable I can think of has them fairing worse than Italy, general health, willingness to follow government directives, the hospital system, their lack of testing, Trump's inaction early on (expect to hear him call it the China virus a lot more), the super partisan nature of their politics. etc etc.
Add to all of that, a lot of uncertain and frightened people as it all unravels, fully locked and loaded with their finger on the trigger ready to protect themselves from the masses of other locked and loaded people they think might be coming to either give them the virus or get "their stuff" that place is a powder keg waiting to go off.